Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Breaking Down the FCS Championship Game: Part 1: The Offenses

It's the holiday season and with that comes a plethora of shopping, weather changes (knock on wood), and our final dose of high-major college football as the NCAA dumps its annual buffet of 30-plus bowl games on us. Lost in the shuffle of this bevy of entertainment is the FCS Championship game. This year's tilt features two teams marching into the uncharted territory that is Frisco, Texas for the first time. In part one of my two-part series on this biggest of FCS games, I'll attempt to break down and analyze these team's two offenses.

(In my best Michael Buffer voice)
In the orange corner, from Huntsville, Texas, the champions of the Southland Conference at 14-0...the Sam Houston State Bearkats!!!

TEAM SCHEME- SAM HOUSTON STATE BEARKATS
Sam Houston State's (SHSU from now on) bread-and-butter, like so much of the FCS, is their rushing game, ranked fourth nationally. One look at the team's stats and depth chart tells you all you need to know- four Bearkats have over 300 yards rushing on the season, two are at or over 1,000 yards and their passing attack is 103rd overall. It wouldn't be unfair to call Sam Houston State one-dimensional. When your one dimension is running the ball and it's as good as SHSU's, it could be worse. There's a reason running the ball is prevalent in FCS- it wins. Consider this- only 1 of the top 10 passing offenses in FCS (Lehigh) made the playoffs, whereas four of the top 10 rushing offenses made the playoffs (and the 11th- and 12th-best rushing offenses made the playoffs too.)

Sam Houston runs the ball out of a lot of formations and I think it would be fair to categorize them as a spread, read option-based scheme. Keep in mind that "spread" does not mean they throw the ball 40 times a game- it simply means an offense run primarily out of the backfield from shotgun or pistol sets. Based on their personnel, it's a wise decision as running back Tim Flanders and  WR/RB Richard Sincere are best suited to use their speed in space. Philosophically they're quite similar to Oregon, though don't rely on the hectic pace the Ducks do.

PERSONNEL
Quarterbacks: QB Brian Bell won't wow you or evoke memories of former Bearkat great Rhett Bomar, but he'll manage the game (62% completion percentage), protect the ball (5 interceptions), and run the option with aplomb. Bell was #2 in FCS football in passing efficiency, but the Bearkats only threw the ball for more than 200 yards in a game once all year. Bell added 400 yards and 6 TDs on the ground. To use a basketball comparison, Bell is a classic pass-first point guard. He's not there to score, he's there to get the ball to his teammates in places so that they can score. He'll get his TD's when you don't respect him or cheat on their running game, but his strongest asset is the distributing ability he has mastered this year.

Running Backs: The first guy most FCS fans think of when you bring up SHSU is easily sophomore All-American RB Tim Flanders. The Midwest City, Oklahoma native and Kansas State transfer is the bell cow for coach Willie Fritz's scheme as evidenced by his 1,560 rushing yards and 22 rushing TD's. Toss in another 404 yards and 2 TD's in the receiving game and it's pretty easy to see why Bill Snyder wanted Flanders at K-State- Flanders reminds me of former KSU stud Darren Sproles.
Flanders

 The other weapon the 'Kats throw at their opponents is athlete Richard Sincere. It's hard for me to call Sincere a RB because he is used all over the field in much the same way Florida utilized Percy Harvin and Kentucky used Randall Cobb. One of Sam Houston's favorite formations is in fact a "WildKat" package featuring Sincere at QB that is very similar to how Kentucky used Cobb last year. Any time you see Sincere in the backfield, odds are good you're going to see a speed option run of some kind.
Rounding out SHSU's depth chart are running backs Ryan Wilson and Keyshawn Hill, who combined to offer  an additional 732 yards and 6 TD's off the bench.
None of SHSU's running backs are particularly big (Flanders is the biggest at 5-9, 210) but what they lack in size, they make up for in brute speed.

Wide Receivers/Tight Ends: SHSU has no true go-to wideout, but they've got plenty of speed and and balance there. Five different 'Kats have more than 240 yards receiving, but the team's top 2 wide receivers are the aforementioned Flanders and Sincere. The only true starter SHSU features at WR (they consider Sincere a WR on their official roster) exclusively is Torrance Williams, who had 3 TD's and 397 yards (28 yards per game). The rest of the depth chart is a mishmash of guys averaging around 25 yards a game who each have anywhere from one to three TD catches all year.
The team's tight ends combined for 3 catches and 30 yards over the whole season. That's not a misprint, folks. You can forget about their tight ends.

Sincere
Offensive Line: To have such a phenomenal rushing offense like SHSU's, it goes without saying that the big uglies were a big part of it. LT Chris Crockett and C Travis Watson were both First-Team All-Americans. Rounding out the offensive line starters for Sam Houston are RT Kaleb Hopson, OG Matt Boyles, and OG Dan Jenkins. Across the board, their offensive line averages 288 pounds. They've only allowed 9 sacks all year to boot.

(In my Michael Buffer voice)
In the green corner, from Fargo, North Dakota, the champions of the Missouri Valley Conference at 13-1...the North Dakota State University Bison!!!

TEAM SCHEME- NORTH DAKOTA STATE BISON
When NDSU hired former Nebraska assistant Craig Bohl almost a decade ago, some wondered if the Bison were going to go back their option roots. Instead, Bohl brought with him a power running version of the West Coast offense that permeates the majority of NFL and has applications in nearly every college playbook today. Bohl's version of the West Coast is akin to Wisconsin's under Barry Alvarez or Bret Bielema or Jim Harbaugh's Stanford teams, featuring multiple runners running behind fullbacks and tight ends. As far as NDSU's passing game is concerned, how often and well it has been utilized has varied depending on Bohl's level of trust in the starting QB he's using at that moment.
NDSU is certainly more balanced than their Texan counterparts and will run a lot of their plays out of i-formation looks to go along with other pro-style formations featuring 2 TE's. Less common are shotgun plays, but NDSU has opened up their playbook more as the season has worn on, a sign of the development sophomore QB Brock Jensen has made.

PERSONNEL
Jensen
Quarterbacks: Sophomore QB Brock Jensen matured from the raw, immature freshman he was in his freshman season into a steady, reliable game manager with improved accuracy in 2011. Although he threw the ball almost 100 times more than Bell, he only managed 13 TD's to Bell's 20. However, his 3 INTs were the 2nd-fewest in the country (among eligible passers). Jensen, like Bell, knows his role. He's there to distribute the ball, protect it, and keep his team in the game.

McNorton
Running backs: Just like SHSU, this is where NDSU's offense comes from. NDSU doesn't have the depth or gamebreaking ability out of the backfield that SHSU does, but they certainly have the balance. Both of NDSU's top rushers, D.J. McNorton and Sam Ojuri topped the 1,000 yard mark this year and each had 11 or more TD's to go with it. Although their stats are similar, their skill sets are somewhat varied, allowing NDSU to broaden their offensive playcalling depending on which particular back they have in the game. McNorton is the more well-rounded of the bunch, catching 22 passes to Ojuri's 4 this year. He'll be used both in the screen game and as a check-down for Jensen. Ojuri is more of a slashing running back and the Bison like to use him as their closer as his juking, hard-cutting style are the perfect style to wipe the floor with defenders tired of being run on.

Receivers/Tight Ends: Unlike Sam Houston, NDSU utilizes their receivers much more conventionally. Warren Holloway is the big name here, and he led the Bison in receptions, yards, and receiving TD's this year. Jensen looks his way early and often (Holloway had more than 30 more catches than the next closest Bison WR) and his size and leaping ability make him absolutely deadly in the red zone. Complement Holloway is North Dakota kid Ryan Smith, a Wes Welker clone who lives out of the slot and whose short-area quickness and speed make him lethal in space. He has had to deal with a nagging hamstring injury and missed most of NDSU's first 2 playoff games against James Madison, Lehigh and Georgia Southern. No other NDSU WR's have emerged of note as this unit was decimated by injuries this year.
Unlike Sam Houston, NDSU heavily utilizes their tight ends in both of their roles. Matt Veldman, the 6-7 Becker, Minnesota native, was NDSU's 3rd leading pass-catcher this year and his ability as both blocker and receiver doesn't allow defenses to key on whether NDSU is running or passing based on his being in the game or not. Backup TE Garrett Bruhn added 10 catches as another safety valve for the Bison.

Offensive Line: Just like SHSU, the Bison feature a monstrous (in size and talent) offensive line. OT Paul Cornick was an All-American. Accompanying him on the line for NDSU is Austin Richard, Joe Lund, Tyler Gimmestad, and Billy Turner. One of the MVFC's best offensive lines, the Bison allowed only 21 sacks in 14 games this year. They average 303 pounds.


Who will these offenses be going up against? That's still to come in Part Two of FCS Championship preview. (I promise no more Michael Buffer references.)

Friday, December 2, 2011

Breaking Down the College Football Coaching Carousel

We've had a slew of hiring/firings in college football, involving at least 10 (ten!) openings that I can think of. Ohio State, North Carolina, Texas A&M, Arizona, Washington State, Memphis, UCLA, Ole Miss, Kansas, Illinois, Arizona State, and UAB have all removed their head coaches and were or are looking for new guys to run their programs. I think Penn State is looking for a new guy too, but I haven't heard too much about that. I also heard Ohio State filled their position too. 


For the first part, I'll break down the new hires we know about- Rich Rodriguez at Arizona, Mike Leach at Washington State, and the blockbuster of them all, Urban Meyer at Ohio State. 


Rich Rodriguez, Arizona
Age: 48

Coaching Résumé

Salem (WV) College (now Salem International University- competed at DII level) 

Record: (1988 season) 2-8 (dropped football program after one year with Rodriguez) 


Glenville State (1990-1996)- Won 3 conference titles and was national runner-up in 1993 NAIA Championship...Was WVIAC Coach of the Year twice and NAIA COY in 1993. 

  • Record: 43-28-2 
Served as Assistant Coach, Offensive Coordinator, and Quarterback Coach for Tulane from 1997 to 1998 and Offensive Coordinator/Associate Head Coach at Clemson in 1999

West Virginia (2001-2007)- Won 4 Big East Conference championships...2-3 in bowl games he coached (West Virginia won the 2007 Fiesta Bowl but he had already left for Michigan by this time.)...Big East Coach of the Year in 2002, 2003, and 2005.
  • Record: 60-26
Michigan (2007-2009)- 0-1 in bowl games
  • Record: 15-22 

Career Record: 120-84 (2-4 in postseason bowls)


Outlook at Arizona:
In terms of overall fit and realistic athletic department expectations for football, this is a good landing spot for RichRod. It will be new for him conference-wise and regionally since he doesn't have many connections in the area. He'll also need to work hard recruiting so he can get the players he wants for his scheme and deal with the inevitable transfers that will occur. 
Implementing his run-heavy spread option attack into the finesse Pac-12 could provide some culture shock. The transition will take a few years but if the AD is patient with Rodriguez (and most AD's haven't shown a lot of patience recently), he'll get the necessary athletes to put together a rushing offense to rival Oregon's out west. On paper, it's not a perfect fit, but it could work with time. 


Rating this hire on the ever-so-popular scale of 1-10, 10 being "Nick Saban-esque," I'd give this hire a solid 8. 


Mike Leach, Washington State
Age: 50 
Coaching Résumé
Cal Poly-San Luis Obispo (1987)- Assistant/Offensive Line Coach
College of the Desert (1988)- Assistant/Linebackers Coach
Iowa Wesleyan (1989-91)- Offensive Coordinator
Valdosta State (1992-96)- Offensive Coordinator at Valdosta State....1996 DII Offensive Coordinator of the Year 
Kentucky (1997-98)- Offensive Coordinator at Kentucky...mentored Tim Couch 
Oklahoma (1999)- Offensive Coordinator/Quarterbacks Coach
Texas Tech (2000-2009)- 2008 Big XII Coach of the Year, 5-4 in bowl games
  • Record: 84-43

Career Record: 84-43 (5-4 postseason)

Outlook at Washington State:
Of the big three hires we've seen so far, this fit is absolutely the most spectacular and best. When it comes to winning in backwater college towns, pirate connoisseur Mike Leach is right up there with the legendary Bill Snyder in terms of guys who win big despite coaching in the sticks. Considering athletic director Bill Moos wanted a flashy offense that would "light up the scoreboard," getting Leach's Air Raid offensive attack was a humongous coup for the Cougars. Moos doesn't (or shouldn't) expect conference championships every single year, but Wazzu can be competitive and has been in the past, including going to its fair share of Rose Bowls. It also has churned out QB's you've heard of like Drew Bledsoe, Mark Rypien, and Ryan Leaf (see video). That's not to say everything is rosy in Pullman, though. There are a few sticking points for me. 


WSU is paying Leach a hefty sum of money, almost $2M per year out of an estimated athletic department budget of $38M. Then there is the little matter of two pending lawsuits related to and stemming from alleged mistreatment of Adam James by Leach while at Texas Tech. Leach is eccentric and does come with some baggage and will say awfully weird and rude things from time to time, but Wazzu will put up with that as long as Leach's teams put up the points and wins...and I expect him to do well. 

On a scale of 1-10, 10 being "Nick Saban-esque", I'd say about a 7.5...which is about a 10 for Washington State. 

Urban Meyer, Ohio State
Age: 47
Coaching Résumé
Ohio State (1986-87)- Tight Ends and Wide Receivers Coach
Illinois State (1988-89)- Outside Linebackers/Quarterbacks/Wide Receivers Coach
Colorado State (1990-95)- Wide Receivers Coach
Notre Dame (1996-2000)- Wide Receivers Coach
Bowling Green (2001-02)- Head Coach...2001 MAC Coach of the Year
  • Record: 17-6
Utah (2003-04)- Head Coach....2004 Coach of the Year...2003 and 2004 MWC Coach of the Year...2-0 in bowl games
  • Record: 22-2
Florida (2005-10) Head Coach...5-1 in bowl games (4-0 BCS games)...2-time National Champion
  • Record: 65-15 
Career Record: 104-23 (7-1 in bowl games)

Outlook at Ohio State:
In the biggest shock since Europeans discovered there was land between Europe and Asia (that's sarcasm, folks), the Ohio native Urban Meyer stepped out of his one-year retirement to take the position he once professed to be his "dream job." 
Dream job indeed
To that end, it's a perfect marriage as both Ohio State and Meyer really love each other. Philosophically, it'll be an adjustment for the Buckeyes, long-used to seeing bulldozing rushing attacks led by power backs like Archie Griffin, Eddie George, Robert Smith, and Maurice Clarett. I expect Ohio State to be fairly patient with Meyer, as they know that with looming NCAA penalties on the horizon it might be a couple of years before the Buckeyes can officially win any Big Ten and National Championships. With that in mind, Ohio State can afford to wait for Meyer to assemble the athletes he wants to fit his spread option scheme. Once he gets those, Ohio State will win big in the Big Ten. In the meantime, they'll have to manage his stress and fatigue levels. The best way to do that? Pay his staff a really nice salary so they stick around and keep him sane. That's the big risk with Meyer. 

Scale of 1-10....I'd give it a solid 9.5, even with Ohio State's insanely high expectations and Meyer's durability concern. 


For your bonus, I'll rank the remaining other positions available from best job to worst job.
1. Texas A&M- SEC newbie + easy access to Texas's rich high school talent pipeline = good chance at success, IMO. Sure you got to deal with that conference, but if Arkansas can win, why not A&M?

2. North Carolina- Winnable conference to say the least. Nice facilities, too. 

3. Penn State- This would typically be #1 for almost anyone else, but you might've heard that place is a mess right now...off the field and at QB

4. Arizona State- Arizona is rebuilding, UCLA has no coach, USC is entering its reduced scholarships phase of NCAA purgatory, and the rest of the Pac 12 South isn't that impressive. It should have been easier to win there for Dennis Erickson. 

5. Illinois- Kind of on the fence with this program. Some weeks you're like, "Hey, they've got some talent..." Then the next week you're saying "ew!" like an adolescent girl dissecting a frog. You can win here, just don't expect to playing on January 1st that often. 

6. UCLA- I'm not convinced they're fully committed to winning in football. Not my cup o' tea if I'm the new guy. It beats the other alternatives, though. 

7. Ole Miss- Let's see....division games against Alabama, LSU, Arkansas, Auburn, and Mississippi State every year. Oh and then you play some combination of South Carolina, Florida, Georgia, Tennessee and Vandy for your 8 conference games. No wonder they can't win consistently. That schedule is brutal!

8. Kansas- They only gave Turner Gill two years to win with what was left of the human mound's players? Really? 

9. UAB- Well, I guess you could do worse than taking over a team in a winnable conference with access to Alabama and Auburn's table scraps. 

10. Memphis- Ummmm.....it's Memphis. I think I personally would take this job if they just offered it to me on the street, but only, only, only, only as my first gig and as a stepping stone to bigger and better things...I'm looking at you Derek Dooley.... That bright orange "T" out in Knoxville could use my help....